Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.1% | 37.9% | -2.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +4 (53-49). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Perry * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| JaCobi Wood * | 35 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Brian Moore Jr. * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Nick Ellington * | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Walker Jr. * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Quincy Anderson | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Justin Morgan | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malek Abdelgowad | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Samuel Murray | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Monta Black * | 40 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| DeMarcus Sharp * | 40 | 8-23 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Dezi Jones * | 36 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Dez White * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Daniel Loos * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sai Witt | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Hansel Enmanuel | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
* = starter