Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.3 | ✓ (22.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -24 (53-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wood * | 36 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| N. Ellington * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Q. Anderson * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| R. Perry * | 24 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Moore Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Applewhite | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Murray II | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Rice | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Boatright | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Chew | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moore * | 33 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Clay * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Mason * | 27 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 4-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| M. Lee * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Edwards * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Bey | 21 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| R. Ayres | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Kramer | 14 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Carper | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N.J. Benson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter