Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +3 (73-70). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Strawbridge Jr. * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Ben Humrichous * | 32 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Gage Bobe * | 31 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Yacine Toumi * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Antonio Thomas * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Tanner Cuff | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Chuck Bailey III | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Joshua Hughes | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cam Haffner | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaCobi Wood * | 40 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Quincy Anderson * | 38 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Rob Perry * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Nick Ellington * | 30 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Justin Morgan * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Alden Applewhite | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Malek Abdelgowad | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Chew | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter