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Murray State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Murray State Racers, Murray State
Program History
Coach: Steve Prohm

2015 Team Stats (1 games)

89.0
PPG
56.0
Opp
+33.0
Margin
50.8%
FG%
25.0%
3P%
67.6%
FT%
40.0
RPG
12.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
67.7
Adj Opp PPG
#61
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1274 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1236 (#27) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1169 (#12) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +8.0 (#66) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +11.3 (#27) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.828 (#17) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.1 More → 0.781 (#76) AdjNet +11.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +11.1 More → 0.783 (#77) AdjNet +11.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 67.7 More → 0.672 (#61) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 67.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.717 (#15) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.761 (#43) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.768 (#37) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 33 More → 1240 (#30) RD 110 | GP 33

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Houston Cougars L 74 - 77
2014-11-18 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 68 - 49
2014-11-20 vs Brescia Bearcats W 89 - 56
2014-11-24 @ Xavier Musketeers L 62 - 89
2014-11-28 vs Portland Pilots L 61 - 64
2014-11-29 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 58 - 93
2014-11-30 vs Drake Bulldogs W 68 - 59
2014-12-03 vs Bethel (TN) Wildcats W 102 - 66
2014-12-06 vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers W 93 - 81
2014-12-13 @ Evansville Purple Aces W 81 - 79
2014-12-17 vs Alcorn State Braves W 94 - 56
2014-12-20 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 89 - 77
2014-12-22 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 83 - 71
2014-12-30 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 76 - 39
2015-01-03 @ Morehead State Eagles W 66 - 57
2015-01-08 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 83 - 67
2015-01-11 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 84 - 57
2015-01-15 vs Belmont Bruins W 92 - 77
2015-01-17 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 91 - 72
2015-01-22 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 77 - 62
2015-01-24 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 60 - 54
2015-01-29 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 85 - 78
2015-01-31 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 65 - 62
2015-02-05 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 82 - 72
2015-02-07 @ Austin Peay Governors W 82 - 72
2015-02-12 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 78 - 46
2015-02-14 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 94 - 92
2015-02-21 vs Austin Peay Governors W 89 - 54
2015-02-26 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 65 - 57
2015-02-28 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 73 - 67
2015-03-06 vs Morehead State Eagles W 80 - 77
2015-03-07 vs Belmont Bruins L 87 - 88
2015-03-17 vs UTEP Miners W 81 - 66
2015-03-23 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 83 - 62
2015-03-25 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 69 - 72

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cameron Payne Cameron Payne G 29 32.9 20.4 3.8 5.8 2.0 0.4 2.7 1.9 27.9 145 17 8.5 11.7 47.3 40.9 76.5 -0.64 474.6 55.5
Jarvis Williams Jarvis Williams F 29 31.5 16.2 8.5 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 24.6 173 17 10.2 14.7 56.8 0 84.2 3.76 448.8 56.8
T.J. Sapp T.J. Sapp G 2 29.5 15.5 2.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.5 16.5 174 17 10.2 14.4 42.9 33.3 50.0 3.33 176.9 57.1
Jeffery Moss Jeffery Moss F 29 33.3 10.6 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.1 1.3 0.9 15.2 137 17 8.1 11.0 61.5 45.5 81.8 1.45 496.1 71.2
Jonathan Fairell Jonathan Fairell F 29 22.0 5.6 7.2 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.6 1.0 12.8 114 17 6.7 12.9 60.0 0 50.0 0.23 249.7 60.0
Justin Seymour Justin Seymour G 2 16.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 3.0 5.0 68 17 4.0 8.8 66.7 50.0 50.0 1.37 72.7 75.0
Tyler Rambo Tyler Rambo F 24 10.7 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.1 5.2 -32 15 -2.1 -9.2 66.7 0 56.2 -6.09 413.3 66.7
Wayne Langston Wayne Langston F 27 11.8 2.1 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 4.9 15 15 1.0 3.3 45.5 0 60.0 -1.89 188.3 45.5
Kedrick Flomo Kedrick Flomo G 24 10.0 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.2 2.1 -24 14 -1.7 -8.0 20.0 33.3 66.7 -4.62 170.2 30.0
Jeff Martin Jeff Martin G 7 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 -1.49 71.7 0.0
Terron Gilmore Terron Gilmore F 11 5.0 0.9 1.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.1 2.1 -12 7 -1.7 -19.0 0.0 0 50.0 -2.45 181.2 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG