Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | +14.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.5% | 85.5% | +9.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +3 (80-77). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karam Mashour * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Brent Arrington * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kareem Storey * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Corban Collins * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Billy Reader * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Angelo Warner | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Elechi | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Fuggins | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Miguel Dicent | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Chad Donley | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Payne * | 37 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| T.J. Sapp * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jarvis Williams * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Justin Seymour | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wayne Langston | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter