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2015-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% +30.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 5.0% 95.0% - โœ“
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.8 โœ“ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 13.7% 86.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.6% 87.4% - โœ“

Actual: Murray State Racers +35 (89-54). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khalil Davis 35 3-10 1-3 5-6 3 4 2 0 1 12 10 -
Ed Dyson 30 1-6 0-1 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Chris Horton 30 2-8 0-0 0-2 10 2 0 2 3 4 7 -
Josh Robinson 27 3-8 0-1 6-6 3 1 2 0 0 12 10 -
Chris Freeman 26 5-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 3 12 9 -
Assane Diop 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 4 5 -
Damarius Smith 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 2 1 -
Zavion Williams 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Tre' Ivory 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Serigne Mboup 3 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Domas Budrys 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Jeremy Purvis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Payne 30 6-13 5-8 5-6 2 8 3 0 1 22 21 -
Jeffery Moss 29 4-7 3-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 0 13 14 -
Jarvis Williams 28 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 10 7 -
T.J. Sapp 27 3-7 3-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 9 7 -
Jonathan Fairell 25 6-9 0-0 1-1 8 2 2 0 2 13 14 -
Justin Seymour 18 1-8 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 2 -2 -
Wayne Langston 15 4-4 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 0 0 11 14 -
Kedrick Flomo 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Tyler Rambo 10 2-3 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
Terron Gilmore 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 4 -
Jeff Martin 2 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter