Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | -3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -2 (79-81). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Payne * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 43 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Jarvis Williams * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Rambo | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wayne Langston | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kedrick Flomo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Balentine * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 37 | - |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 32 | - |
| Blake Simmons * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Duane Gibson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Adam Wing * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mislav Brzoja | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Jaylon Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaylon Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Christian Benzon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter