Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | -8.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | -4.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -9 (57-66). Ratings: 2014-15 season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Williams * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jeffery Moss * | 39 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Cameron Payne * | 37 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Sapp * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Fairell * | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Justin Seymour | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Wayne Langston | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kedrick Flomo | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tyler Rambo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Arrington * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Billy Reader * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kareem Storey * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lyonell Gaines * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Corban Collins | 28 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Karam Mashour | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Marquel Willis | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Miguel Dicent | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Fuggins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter