🐻⬇️🏀

Mount St. Mary's

Also known as: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

67.7
PPG
70.2
Opp
-2.5
Margin
43.4%
FG%
32.3%
3P%
67.0%
FT%
37.1
RPG
13.6
APG
15.2
TO
78.4
Pace
67.4
AdjO
76.1
AdjD
#289
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1080 (#119) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 907 (#249) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 993 (#462) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -8.6 (#288) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +10.7 (#222) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.373 (#250) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -21.4 More → 0.076 (#316) NetEff -21.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.215 (#283) AdjNet -11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.5 More → 0.210 (#284) AdjNet -11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 76.1 More → 0.313 (#289) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 76.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.554 (#177) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.635 (#260) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.622 (#247) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 31 More → 980 (#255) RD 150 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 54 - 70
2025-11-07 vs Bucknell Bison L 62 - 73
2025-11-11 @ Saint Francis Red Flash W 74 - 66
2025-11-16 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 55 - 72
2025-11-19 @ Maryland Terrapins L 90 - 95
2025-11-23 @ Western Michigan Broncos L 60 - 83
2025-11-25 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 60 - 113
2025-11-29 vs Howard Bison W 79 - 75
2025-12-03 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers L 80 - 87
2025-12-05 @ Marist Red Foxes L 56 - 64
2025-12-13 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 81 - 73
2025-12-19 @ Drexel Dragons L 67 - 75
2025-12-21 vs Penn State (Brandywine) Lions W 73 - 42
2025-12-29 vs Iona Gaels W 66 - 59
2026-01-02 @ Merrimack Warriors L 65 - 75
2026-01-04 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 69 - 80
2026-01-09 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 70 - 65
2026-01-11 vs Siena Saints L 50 - 67
2026-01-19 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 68 - 58
2026-01-22 vs Quinnipiac Bobcats L 62 - 77
2026-01-24 vs Rider Broncs W 71 - 61
2026-01-30 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks L 58 - 66
2026-02-01 vs Manhattan Jaspers W 72 - 65
2026-02-05 vs Merrimack Warriors L 70 - 87
2026-02-07 @ Iona Gaels W 83 - 76
2026-02-13 @ Rider Broncs W 65 - 55
2026-02-20 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 76 - 63
2026-02-22 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 68 - 47
2026-02-27 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 69 - 77
2026-03-01 @ Fairfield Stags W 69 - 47
2026-03-07 @ Siena Saints L 58 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Keyes A. Keyes - 29 29.7 11.9 3.3 3.2 1.6 0.4 2.2 11.1 7.2 -18 -0.8 -1.4 37.0 35.4 64.4 0.03 50.6 49.2
L. McEldon L. McEldon - 29 25.7 11.8 6.2 1.4 0.4 0.6 2.0 8.3 10.0 -26 -1.2 -2.2 64.3 0.0 42.7 -0.12 62.4 64.3
Trey Deveaux Trey Deveaux F 27 26.6 11.0 4.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.7 8.7 6.9 -56 -2.7 -4.7 43.2 30.3 73.7 -0.6 53.5 48.1
X. Lipscomb X. Lipscomb - 30 32.9 9.5 4.7 3.8 1.2 0.0 2.5 6.1 10.7 -63 -2.5 -3.9 41.0 36.7 88.1 -0.6 61.9 51.9
J. Amadi J. Amadi F 29 21.5 7.6 4.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.5 5.1 6.8 23 1.0 2.4 52.7 16.7 59.0 0.41 56.4 53.0
A. Khadre Kebe A. Khadre Kebe - 21 21.6 7.6 5.6 1.0 0.9 0.4 1.3 6.7 7.5 - - - 39.0 28.6 70.0 - 50.4 46.8
A. Arrington Jr. A. Arrington Jr. G 21 18.9 5.8 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.8 6.9 0.9 88 4.9 9.4 33.8 22.0 52.6 0.86 39.4 38.3
Mason So Mason So - 30 18.3 3.8 2.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 1.9 3.3 4.1 -89 -4.0 -8.7 39.4 34.4 78.9 -1.18 53.1 50.0
A. Rozakeas A. Rozakeas - 23 14.8 3.8 2.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 4.0 2.3 -74 -3.5 -10.9 33.0 32.4 83.3 -0.72 46.5 45.1
P. Haigh P. Haigh - 19 10.9 3.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 3.1 1.3 -24 -2.2 -10.4 37.9 34.6 50.0 -0.53 53.5 53.4
Yakhya Diop Yakhya Diop - 30 8.6 1.8 2.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.1 3.5 -20 -0.9 -5.2 50.0 0 65.5 -0.23 56.7 50.0
E. Espinosa E. Espinosa - 15 4.4 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.3 -6 -0.8 -6.2 37.5 0 45.5 -0.28 42.8 37.5
John Miller Iv John Miller Iv - 6 2.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 -0.5 -7 -7.0 -96.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 -0.11 7.3 0.0
J. Hartman J. Hartman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Justin May Justin May G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Noah Rogers Noah Rogers - 5 1.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 2 1.0 92.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.05 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG