Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers -17 (50-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shoats | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | -4.6 |
| G. Doty | 38 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -4.6 |
| F. Folefac | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +1.6 |
| R. Mulvey | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | -6.1 |
| C. Jones | 23 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Coyle | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -4.5 |
| A. Chandler | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.3 |
| I. Henderson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2.0 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Lipscomb | 31 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +4.3 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 29 | 3-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Keyes | 28 | 1-14 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | +2.5 |
| T. Deveaux | 25 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -1.7 |
| L. McEldon | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +4.4 |
| J. Amadi | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +8.2 |
| A. Arrington Jr. | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | -6.6 |
| M. So | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Y. Diop | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter