Model Predictions
| Model | Manhattan Jaspers | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +7 (72-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dinkins | 33 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -5.7 |
| J. Winston | 32 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +2.3 |
| T. Jones | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -3.0 |
| F. Roxburgh | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +3.2 |
| M. Ljubicic | 28 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Q. Elliott | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +2.0 |
| A. Isaac | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -2.9 |
| J. Delaney | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| E. Oliver-Bush | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Keyes | 34 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +2.6 |
| T. Deveaux | 31 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -4.7 |
| X. Lipscomb | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | -0.4 |
| L. McEldon | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | +4.7 |
| A. Khadre Kebe | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Arrington Jr. | 19 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Amadi | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| M. So | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Y. Diop | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +1.0 |
| A. Rozakeas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
* = starter