Morehead State
2006 Team Stats (2 games)
92.0
PPG
106.0
Opp
-14.0
Margin
50.0%
FG%
29.6%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
37.5
RPG
20.5
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.5
Adj PPG
73.5
Adj Opp PPG
#331
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2005-2006
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 684 (#322) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 667 (#324) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 849 (#319) | HCA +97 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -18.1 (#331) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -16.5 (#325) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.072 (#330) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.044 (#329) | AdjNet -26.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.042 (#329) | AdjNet -27.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.176 (#331) | AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 73.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.252 (#328) | AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 72.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.128 (#328) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.139 (#328) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 665 (#325) | RD 178 | GP 26 |
2006 Schedule & Results
2006 Roster
No roster data available for this season.