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Morehead State

Also known as: Morehead State Eagles
Program History

2006 Team Stats (2 games)

92.0
PPG
106.0
Opp
-14.0
Margin
50.0%
FG%
29.6%
3P%
70.3%
FT%
37.5
RPG
20.5
APG
19.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
56.5
Adj PPG
73.5
Adj Opp PPG
#331
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 684 (#322) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 667 (#324) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 849 (#319) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -18.1 (#331) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -16.5 (#325) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.072 (#330) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -26.6 More โ†’ 0.044 (#329) AdjNet -26.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.0 More โ†’ 0.042 (#329) AdjNet -27.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 73.5 More โ†’ 0.176 (#331) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 73.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 72.5 More โ†’ 0.252 (#328) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 72.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.128 (#328) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.139 (#328) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 178 | GP 26 More โ†’ 665 (#325) RD 178 | GP 26

2006 Schedule & Results

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.