Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +24 (76-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Smith | 36 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| R. Allen | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Januska | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Williams | 22 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| T. Cockerham | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| C. Reisz | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Ballard | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Rogers | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Towers-Solis | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 37 | 8-17 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| J. Merritt | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Gulina | 28 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Smith | 27 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T. Peterson | 27 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| J. Black | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. West | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. LoPiano | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter