Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -1 (56-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gomes | 38 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| M. Robinson | 33 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Catchings | 29 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| G. Tandy | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| J. Byrne | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Parrish | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Sinclair | 17 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Brown | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Wilkin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Williams | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Q. Pryor | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Cockerham | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| S. Januska | 22 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Ballard | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Q. Smith | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Allen | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| O. Towers-Solis | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| C. Reisz | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Rogers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter