Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.1% | 1.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -2 (63-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Witt | 36 | 8-17 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Jason McLeish | 35 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Michael Brock | 34 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Darnell Dialls | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mike Rose | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Hird | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Julian Mascoll | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Brown | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Williams | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Q. Smith | 37 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| O. Towers-Solis | 36 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Quentin Pryor | 34 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Cordaryl Ballard | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Stan Januska | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyke Cockerham | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Allen | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tristan Rogers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter