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2005-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.8 (11.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +26 (67-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pryor 36 3-6 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 10 4 -
R. Allen 33 2-6 0-0 0-1 3 2 1 4 2 4 6 -
S. Williams 31 6-13 0-2 3-6 5 1 2 0 4 15 6 -
T. Cockerham 28 1-4 0-2 0-1 2 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
C. Ballard 27 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 4 4 -3 -
Q. Smith 17 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
T. Rogers 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 0 -5 -
S. Januska 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Reisz 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Scott 28 4-13 1-4 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 11 3 -
N. Plummer 26 4-5 0-0 1-4 7 0 2 0 1 9 12 -
W. Williams 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 0 5 -
C. Alvarez 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 2 8 12 -
B. Roberts 20 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 6 6 -
J. Binnie 17 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
L. White 16 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
D. Adedeji 15 6-6 0-0 1-4 5 0 1 0 1 13 12 -
J. Cripe 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
M. Bennett 10 0-1 0-1 2-6 0 2 2 0 1 2 4 -
C. Little 8 2-2 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
W. Brady 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Penno 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter