Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +26 (67-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Pryor | 36 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| R. Allen | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Williams | 31 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 6 | - |
| T. Cockerham | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Ballard | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Q. Smith | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Rogers | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -5 | - |
| S. Januska | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Reisz | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scott | 28 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| N. Plummer | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| W. Williams | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Roberts | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Binnie | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. White | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 15 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Cripe | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Bennett | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Little | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| W. Brady | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Penno | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter