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Minnesota

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Minnesota Golden Gophers, Minnesota
Program History
Coach: Tubby Smith

2012 Team Stats (8 games)

58.8
PPG
67.0
Opp
-8.2
Margin
39.8%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
70.4%
FT%
32.8
RPG
12.0
APG
13.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.9
Adj PPG
60.6
Adj Opp PPG
#45
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1247 (#49) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1194 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1099 (#54) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +10.1 (#42) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +10.6 (#38) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.620 (#109) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.9 More → 0.862 (#44) AdjNet +15.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +16.1 More → 0.865 (#44) AdjNet +16.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 60.6 More → 0.699 (#45) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 60.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 61.4 More → 0.643 (#53) AdjO 67.9 | AdjD 61.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.764 (#42) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.755 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 83 | GP 38 More → 1205 (#46) RD 83 | GP 38

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Bucknell Bison W 70 - 58
2011-11-14 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 71 - 55
2011-11-17 vs Fairfield Stags W 67 - 57
2011-11-21 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 85 - 56
2011-11-24 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 86 - 85
2011-11-25 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 76 - 69
2011-11-27 @ Dayton Flyers L 70 - 86
2011-11-30 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 58 - 55
2011-12-03 vs USC Trojans W 55 - 40
2011-12-06 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers W 70 - 56
2011-12-10 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 69 - 47
2011-12-13 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 76 - 56
2011-12-22 vs North Dakota State Bison W 63 - 59
2011-12-27 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 72 - 81
2012-01-01 @ Michigan Wolverines L 56 - 61
2012-01-04 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 62 - 64
2012-01-08 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 66 - 79
2012-01-12 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 77 - 74
2012-01-15 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 80 - 66
2012-01-22 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 75 - 52
2012-01-25 @ Michigan State Spartans L 52 - 68
2012-01-28 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 77 - 72
2012-02-01 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 59 - 63
2012-02-05 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 69 - 61
2012-02-09 vs Wisconsin Badgers L 61 - 68
2012-02-14 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 68 - 78
2012-02-18 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 53 - 64
2012-02-22 vs Michigan State Spartans L 61 - 66
2012-02-26 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 50 - 69
2012-02-28 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 45 - 52
2012-03-03 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 81 - 69
2012-03-08 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 75 - 68
2012-03-09 @ Michigan Wolverines L 69 - 73
2012-03-14 @ La Salle Explorers W 70 - 61
2012-03-19 @ Miami Hurricanes W 78 - 60
2012-03-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 78 - 72
2012-03-27 @ Washington Huskies W 68 - 67
2012-03-29 @ Stanford Cardinal L 51 - 75

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trevor Mbakwe Trevor Mbakwe F 7 28.7 14.0 9.1 1.4 1.1 1.7 3.1 1.0 23.3 - - - - 85.7 0 66.7 -1.44 508.3 85.7
Rodney Williams Rodney Williams F 38 31.9 12.2 5.6 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.6 4.3 16.4 51 18 2.8 3.7 57.9 30.8 59.7 3.49 118.8 60.4
Julian Welch Julian Welch G 36 24.7 9.5 2.4 2.9 1.1 0.2 2.3 3.5 10.4 -2 17 -0.1 -0.2 48.4 44.2 76.7 -0.46 118.3 57.5
A. Hollins A. Hollins G 38 28.4 9.2 2.8 2.1 1.1 0.3 1.7 3.3 10.5 40 18 2.2 3.2 43.5 32.3 82.8 1.76 127.2 52.0
A. Hollins A. Hollins G 37 21.1 8.7 2.1 1.8 0.9 0.1 2.1 3.2 8.3 52 18 2.9 5.3 35.6 39.3 91.2 1.66 121.5 44.9
Ralph Sampson Ralph Sampson F-C 28 23.4 7.9 4.6 1.9 0.3 1.3 1.6 3.8 10.6 -4 10 -0.4 -0.7 44.9 0.0 89.3 0.04 92.6 44.9
Joe Coleman Joe Coleman G 38 18.8 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 1.4 2.2 7.1 -13 18 -0.7 -1.4 36.9 0.0 77.6 -2.07 100.0 36.9
Chip Armelin Chip Armelin G 38 13.7 5.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.8 2.3 5.6 12 18 0.7 2.5 36.8 29.4 30.8 0.76 105.7 42.5
Oto Osenieks Oto Osenieks F 34 11.1 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.1 3.9 -6 15 -0.4 -1.6 33.3 14.3 50.0 -0.03 114.0 35.9
Maverick Ahanmisi Maverick Ahanmisi G 36 13.3 2.7 1.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.0 1.2 3.9 -18 17 -1.1 -4.1 31.1 31.6 57.9 -2.04 90.9 37.8
Elliott Eliason Elliott Eliason C 38 15.1 2.6 3.9 0.9 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.2 6.5 51 18 2.8 7.0 52.3 0 38.5 1.75 100.6 52.3
Andre Ingram Andre Ingram F 30 8.8 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 3.3 5 14 0.4 1.5 69.2 0 54.5 0.44 159.8 69.2
Chris Halvorsen Chris Halvorsen F 9 1.7 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.54 0 0
Kendal Shell Kendal Shell G 10 1.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -1.34 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG