Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | -1.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +11 (64-53). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Williams * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Julian Welch * | 34 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Austin Hollins * | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Oto Osenieks * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ralph Sampson III * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Joe Coleman | 29 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Andre Hollins | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 35 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 33 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter