Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.2% | 23.8% | -6.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -5 (61-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 39 | 5-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Wood | 27 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hollins * | 37 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Julian Welch * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Joe Coleman * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ralph Sampson * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Hollins | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter