Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | -1.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -7 (68-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Williams * | 41 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Andre Hollins * | 37 | 10-17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Austin Hollins * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Elliott Eliason * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Joe Coleman * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Julian Welch | 30 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andre Ingram | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 45 | 7-16 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 42 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 42 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 36 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 17 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter