Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | -5.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -14 (66-80). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Coleman * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 13-14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Williams * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Julian Welch * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ralph Sampson III * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Austin Hollins * | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Elliott Eliason | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Chip Armelin | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Maverick Ahanmisi | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Andre Hollins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Oto Osenieks | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Frazier * | 39 | 5-15 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jermaine Marshall * | 30 | 4-19 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Billy Oliver * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Matt Glover * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Graham * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Cammeron Woodyard | 27 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Ross Travis | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sasa Borovnjak | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Nick Colella | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Montminy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter