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Mercer

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Mercer Bears
Program History
Coach: Bob Hoffman

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1179 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1142 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1163 (#11) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +5.1 (#103) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +6.9 (#77) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.707 (#70) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.700 (#110) AdjNet +7.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.4 More → 0.701 (#110) AdjNet +7.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 60.9 More → 0.613 (#99) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 60.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 60.2 More → 0.632 (#61) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 60.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.713 (#69) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.717 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 91 | GP 36 More → 1166 (#68) RD 91 | GP 36

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Emory Eagles W 66 - 57
2011-11-14 @ Missouri Tigers L 63 - 81
2011-11-17 @ Furman Paladins W 66 - 46
2011-11-21 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 60 - 38
2011-11-22 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 74 - 55
2011-11-23 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 61 - 74
2011-12-01 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 79 - 72
2011-12-03 @ Belmont Bruins L 78 - 82
2011-12-07 @ Samford Bulldogs W 83 - 78
2011-12-10 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 67 - 56
2011-12-18 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 77 - 80
2011-12-20 @ Georgia Bulldogs L 58 - 72
2011-12-22 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 65 - 59
2011-12-28 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 62 - 68
2011-12-30 @ Navy Midshipmen W 65 - 56
2012-01-02 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 76 - 54
2012-01-04 vs Stetson Hatters W 75 - 59
2012-01-07 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 61 - 76
2012-01-09 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 73 - 66
2012-01-13 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 81 - 51
2012-01-23 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 75 - 65
2012-01-28 @ Stetson Hatters W 75 - 64
2012-01-30 @ Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 75 - 66
2012-02-04 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 61 - 47
2012-02-06 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 54 - 46
2012-02-10 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 61 - 57
2012-02-18 @ Jacksonville Dolphins L 75 - 81
2012-02-20 @ North Florida Ospreys L 66 - 75
2012-02-23 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 63 - 54
2012-02-25 vs Belmont Bruins L 61 - 62
2012-02-29 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 61 - 53
2012-03-02 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles L 58 - 62
2012-03-13 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 68 - 60
2012-03-17 vs Georgia State Panthers W 64 - 59
2012-03-21 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 79 - 73
2012-03-24 @ Fairfield Stags W 64 - 59
2012-03-28 @ Utah State Aggies W 70 - 67

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Langston Hall Langston Hall G 37 34.8 11.5 3.4 4.3 1.4 0.2 2.7 2.4 15.8 267 31 8.6 10.8 34.1 36.4 91.2 2.87 207.4 43.2
Justin Cecil Justin Cecil F 37 24.8 10.9 3.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.2 2.6 12.1 146 31 4.7 8.1 42.7 36.1 83.3 0.16 193.4 54.2
Jake Gollon Jake Gollon F 37 31.9 10.5 5.9 3.3 1.6 0.4 3.0 1.9 16.6 236 31 7.6 10.3 51.4 56.2 86.4 0.8 243.5 57.9
Travis Smith Travis Smith G 29 21.9 8.7 2.5 1.8 0.8 0.0 1.5 2.0 10.3 128 27 4.7 9.8 50.8 54.5 81.2 0.32 190.0 61.0
Bud Thomas Bud Thomas F 37 31.5 8.6 4.6 2.1 1.2 0.5 1.9 1.6 13.4 239 31 7.7 10.8 48.3 22.7 64.7 2.37 236.4 52.5
Daniel Coursey Daniel Coursey F 37 19.7 8.1 4.2 0.4 0.3 2.3 1.3 1.8 12.2 164 31 5.3 11.5 64.2 0 59.3 1.57 188.9 64.2
Jibri Bryan Jibri Bryan G 5 15.6 6.2 3.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.0 10.4 - - - - 0 0 0 2.02 0 0
Monty Brown Monty Brown C 37 11.4 4.6 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.5 6.1 70 31 2.3 7.8 52.6 0 72.0 -0.68 286.7 52.6
Chris Smith Chris Smith G 37 9.9 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.5 4.1 -60 31 -1.9 -9.9 41.2 57.1 66.7 -7.27 249.5 52.9
Paul Larsen Paul Larsen F 30 6.5 1.7 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 2.6 -39 25 -1.6 -11.4 27.8 0 80.0 -6.41 116.1 27.8
Shaquille Harris Shaquille Harris - 26 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 - - - - 36.8 33.3 33.3 - 86.1 44.7
R.J. Miskimon R.J. Miskimon - 6 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 250.0 100.0
Kevin Canevari Kevin Canevari G 32 4.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 0.2 1.2 -51 25 -2.0 -18.5 50.0 40.0 100.0 -3.89 138.1 66.7
T.J. Hallice T.J. Hallice F 36 4.2 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.4 -31 31 -1.0 -11.5 16.7 0.0 75.0 -3.45 116.0 16.7
Darious Moten Darious Moten F 19 2.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 -33 18 -1.8 -36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3.58 46.0 0.0
Marquisse Jackson Marquisse Jackson F 10 2.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.75 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG