Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | +21.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.6% | 92.4% | +13.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +16 (75-59). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Perez * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Graham * | 32 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 | - |
| Adam Pegg * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Joel Naburgs * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Liam McInerney * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyshawn Patterson | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Willie Green | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Amara Thompson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Dennis Diaz | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jermol Paul | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bud Thomas * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Langston Hall * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jakob Gollon * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Justin Cecil * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Daniel Coursey * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Travis Smith | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Monty Brown | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chris Smith | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Marquisse Jackson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shaquille Harris | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R.J. Miskimon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darious Moten | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter