Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | +1.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -5 (59-64). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Gollon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Langston Hall * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Bud Thomas * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Daniel Coursey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Justin Cecil * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Travis Smith | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Monty Brown | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Chris Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Matthews * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Maurice Barrow * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rakim Sanders * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Colin Nickerson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Olander * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jamel Fields | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Gary Martin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter