Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | +19.9 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +14.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +11 (67-56). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Bell * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Drazen Zlovaric * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Omar Wattad * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Ricky Taylor * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Chris Early * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Dontay Hampton | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Z. Mason | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Lance Stokes | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jahmal Burroughs | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ronrico White | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Langston Hall * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Jake Gollon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Bud Thomas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Daniel Coursey * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Justin Cecil * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Travis Smith | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Monty Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Chris Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Canevari | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Paul Larsen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marquisse Jackson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Hallice | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter