๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Mercer

2006 Team Stats (2 games)

82.5
PPG
81.5
Opp
+1.0
Margin
47.2%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
63.2%
FT%
36.0
RPG
12.0
APG
9.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.5
Adj PPG
79.2
Adj Opp PPG
#319
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 806 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 765 (#305) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 924 (#273) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -15.2 (#322) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -15.3 (#323) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.258 (#284) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.4 More โ†’ 0.087 (#317) AdjNet -20.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.7 More โ†’ 0.084 (#317) AdjNet -20.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 79.2 More โ†’ 0.223 (#319) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 79.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 75.1 More โ†’ 0.319 (#306) AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 75.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.198 (#309) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.214 (#308) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 155 | GP 28 More โ†’ 789 (#299) RD 155 | GP 28

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-22 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 79 - 98
2005-12-01 vs Savannah State Tigers W 88 - 63
2005-12-03 @ Campbell Fighting Camels L 80 - 86
2005-12-05 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 58 - 67
2005-12-18 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys L 61 - 97
2005-12-22 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 74 - 117
2005-12-29 vs Howard Bison L 74 - 78
2005-12-30 vs Maine Black Bears L 64 - 72
2006-01-02 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 90 - 81
2006-01-04 vs North Florida Ospreys W 77 - 71
2006-01-07 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 80 - 91
2006-01-14 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 66 - 83
2006-01-16 @ Belmont Bruins L 60 - 96
2006-01-19 vs Kennesaw State Owls L 57 - 63
2006-01-21 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 81 - 104
2006-01-24 @ Stetson Hatters W 82 - 81
2006-01-28 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 77 - 70
2006-01-30 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 81 - 84
2006-02-02 vs Belmont Bruins L 72 - 78
2006-02-04 vs Lipscomb Bisons L 66 - 83
2006-02-07 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 74 - 73
2006-02-10 vs Stetson Hatters L 72 - 73
2006-02-13 @ Savannah State Tigers W 77 - 60
2006-02-17 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 93 - 90
2006-02-19 @ North Florida Ospreys W 77 - 71
2006-02-23 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 67 - 77
2006-02-25 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 69 - 71
2006-03-02 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 62 - 78

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.