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2006-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Kennesaw State Owls Mercer Bears Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% +8.6 โœ— (14.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Margin 47.5% 52.5% +0.5 โœ— (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 58.3% 41.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—

Actual: Mercer Bears -6 (57-63). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Kennesaw State Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brent Ragsdale 38 9-15 1-2 4-4 6 2 5 0 2 23 19 -
Golden Ingle 38 5-15 2-6 2-2 2 3 3 0 2 14 5 -
Ryan Nelson 34 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 5 5 -
Andre Morgan 30 2-12 0-3 2-2 6 0 0 1 3 6 -2 -
Ronell Wooten 28 2-11 2-8 2-2 7 1 1 0 1 8 5 -
Israel Ingle 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
Stephen Heramb 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Dusty Moore 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Gaby Cruz 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dinkins 33 5-13 1-6 5-8 7 2 3 0 8 16 7 -
Will Emerson 33 5-7 0-1 0-0 11 2 0 1 3 10 14 -
Sam Dolan 33 6-8 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 3 3 13 13 -
K. Cruz 29 5-12 0-4 2-2 7 1 0 1 4 12 5 -
Ross Alacqua 24 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -
S. Aaron 20 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Hrvoje Pervan 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Caleb Skogen 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Brian Pfohl 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Slonaker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 4 -

* = starter