Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | -9.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.3% | 55.7% | +1.3 | ✗ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins -3 (90-93). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Alacqua | 41 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Will Emerson | 40 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| K. Cruz | 39 | 11-18 | 6-8 | 7-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 20 | - |
| S. Dolan | 39 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| S. Aaron | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| H. Pervan | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Slonaker | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Waters | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Allen | 37 | 12-28 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 7 | - |
| A. Cool | 35 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | - |
| A. Conerly | 34 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| E. Jefferson | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Vrcelj | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| P. Okonma | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Fine | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Newman | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Kampfe | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Brown | 7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter