Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | +9.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +3 (84-81). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dinkins | 37 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 7-11 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| K. Cruz | 37 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Will Emerson | 32 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | - |
| S. Dolan | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Waters | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| R. Alacqua | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Aaron | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 36 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| B. Rhoda | 33 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| B. Nuckles | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - |
| T. Strong | 26 | 6-15 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | - |
| C. Pigram | 20 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | - |
| E. Thomas | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Sneed | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Reed | 12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tayloe Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Keaton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter