Model Predictions
| Model | Mercer Bears | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dinkins | 42 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Will Emerson | 37 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | -1 | - |
| K. Cruz | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Alacqua | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| H. Pervan | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Aaron | 24 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| B. Pfohl | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Skogen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Slonaker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jennings | 45 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Conn | 42 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 30 | - |
| B. Bender | 39 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T. Siddle | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Gash | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. McPhee | 22 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| M. Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Graham | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Noonan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter