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Kentucky

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Kentucky Wildcats, Kentucky
Program History
Coach: John Calipari

2018 Team Stats (22 games)

73.8
PPG
70.5
Opp
+3.3
Margin
46.0%
FG%
33.7%
3P%
69.6%
FT%
36.9
RPG
12.1
APG
12.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
79.2
Adj PPG
64.9
Adj Opp PPG
#20
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1405 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1265 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1115 (#37) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +15.6 (#19) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +16.1 (#16) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.735 (#56) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +21.9 More → 0.926 (#20) AdjNet +21.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.1 More → 0.927 (#20) AdjNet +22.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 64.9 More → 0.787 (#20) AdjO 79.2 | AdjD 64.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.717 (#20) AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.838 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.828 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 37 More → 1275 (#23) RD 90 | GP 37

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 73 - 63
2017-11-12 vs Vermont Catamounts W 73 - 69
2017-11-14 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 65
2017-11-17 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 78 - 61
2017-11-20 vs Troy Trojans W 70 - 62
2017-11-22 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 86 - 67
2017-11-26 vs UIC Flames W 107 - 73
2017-12-02 vs Harvard Crimson W 79 - 70
2017-12-09 vs Monmouth Hawks W 93 - 76
2017-12-16 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 93 - 86
2017-12-23 vs UCLA Bruins L 75 - 83
2017-12-29 vs Louisville Cardinals W 90 - 61
2017-12-31 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 66 - 61
2018-01-03 @ LSU Tigers W 74 - 71
2018-01-06 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 65 - 76
2018-01-09 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 74 - 73
2018-01-13 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 74 - 67
2018-01-16 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 68 - 76
2018-01-20 vs Florida Gators L 64 - 66
2018-01-23 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 78 - 65
2018-01-27 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 83 - 76
2018-01-30 vs Vanderbilt Commodores W 83 - 81
2018-02-03 @ Missouri Tigers L 60 - 69
2018-02-06 vs Tennessee Volunteers L 59 - 61
2018-02-10 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 74 - 85
2018-02-14 @ Auburn Tigers L 66 - 76
2018-02-17 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 81 - 71
2018-02-20 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 87 - 72
2018-02-24 vs Missouri Tigers W 87 - 66
2018-02-28 vs Ole Miss Rebels W 96 - 78
2018-03-03 @ Florida Gators L 67 - 80
2018-03-09 vs Georgia Bulldogs W 62 - 49
2018-03-10 vs Alabama Crimson Tide W 86 - 63
2018-03-11 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 77 - 72
2018-03-15 vs Davidson Wildcats W 78 - 73
2018-03-17 vs Buffalo Bulls W 95 - 75
2018-03-22 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 58 - 61

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kevin Knox Kevin Knox - 36 32.3 15.6 5.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 2.2 8.0 13.2 - - - - 42.9 31.5 79.2 - 84.1 48.8
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - 36 33.8 14.6 4.2 5.1 1.7 0.5 2.8 7.8 15.5 - - - - 48.2 37.8 82.3 - 75.9 50.7
P.J. Washington P.J. Washington - 36 27.4 10.9 5.8 1.6 0.8 0.8 2.0 5.2 12.6 - - - - 50.5 23.5 59.1 - 77.3 51.6
Hamidou Diallo Hamidou Diallo - 36 24.7 9.8 3.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.4 5.3 9.2 - - - - 41.6 30.8 57.8 - 77.9 45.8
Quade Green Quade Green G 33 25.7 9.5 1.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 5.1 7.7 - - - - 41.1 33.8 78.9 - 84.7 48.5
Wenyen Gabriel Wenyen Gabriel - 36 23.0 6.5 5.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 3.5 9.7 - - - - 46.8 41.7 67.7 - 84.1 58.7
Jarred Vanderbilt Jarred Vanderbilt - 14 17.0 5.9 7.9 1.0 0.4 0.8 1.1 3.1 11.8 - - - - 39.5 0.0 66.7 - 78.5 39.5
Nick Richards Nick Richards - 36 14.4 5.1 4.4 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.7 1.6 8.3 - - - - 57.6 0 66.7 - 119.5 57.6
Sacha Killeya-Jones Sacha Killeya-Jones F 33 14.0 3.3 2.9 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.4 5.1 - - - - 63.8 0.0 62.5 - 90.0 63.8
Tai Wynyard Tai Wynyard F 8 5.4 1.0 1.8 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.8 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 400.0 0.0
Brad Calipari Brad Calipari G 12 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 75.0 0.0
Dillon Pulliam Dillon Pulliam G 4 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jonny David Jonny David G 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG