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2018-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 21.7% 78.3% +7.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +1 (74-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gilder * 35 4-12 3-7 3-4 1 1 0 0 2 14 2 -
D.J. Hogg * 35 4-12 1-7 0-1 4 3 1 1 2 9 4 -
T. Davis * 30 8-10 1-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 3 21 15 -
J. Caldwell * 26 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 6 2 1 1 4 10 -
T. Trocha-Morelos * 17 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 2 1 1 5 -
R. Williams III 22 5-7 0-1 2-6 8 0 1 0 2 12 12 -
S. Flagg 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
TJ Starks 15 3-7 1-3 3-5 2 0 0 1 0 10 6 -
I. Jasey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Chandler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander * 39 6-10 0-0 4-6 7 5 1 2 3 16 18 -
H. Diallo * 34 6-9 0-2 6-9 1 2 0 0 0 18 12 -
P.J. Washington * 32 5-11 1-2 5-10 4 3 2 0 0 16 14 -
K. Knox II * 25 5-5 2-2 3-4 2 0 0 0 4 15 8 -
N. Richards * 16 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 2 6 -
W. Gabriel 32 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 3 -1 -
S. Killeya-Jones 19 1-2 0-1 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
B. Calipari 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter