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2018-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.1% 69.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.6% 54.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gilgeous-Alexander * 37 7-14 1-2 2-4 2 4 0 1 5 17 5 -
K. Knox II * 28 3-10 1-5 5-7 4 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
H. Diallo * 23 0-7 0-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 1 -1 -
W. Gabriel * 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
N. Richards * 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
Q. Green 27 4-7 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
P.J. Washington 23 5-9 0-0 3-5 7 0 1 0 2 13 10 -
J. Vanderbilt 17 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 6 9 -
S. Killeya-Jones 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Allen * 36 4-9 3-7 0-0 7 7 3 0 2 11 17 -
C. Chiozza * 34 2-7 0-3 5-6 3 4 1 0 3 9 7 -
J. Hudson * 33 8-15 3-6 3-3 1 1 2 0 0 22 11 -
E. Koulechov * 23 5-7 2-3 4-6 3 0 0 0 0 16 12 -
K. Hayes * 22 1-2 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
K. Stone 26 4-10 2-4 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 10 8 -
G. Gak 16 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
M. Okauru 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 2 -

* = starter