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Mississippi State Bulldogs 65
@
Kentucky Wildcats 78
2018-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.4% 64.6% - ✓
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 ✓ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 23.2% 76.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lamar Peters * 33 4-11 1-5 0-0 0 5 1 0 2 9 2 -
Quinndary Weatherspoon * 31 8-16 1-5 2-2 9 6 1 0 2 19 17 -
Abdul Ado * 31 0-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
Nick Weatherspoon * 22 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 10 4 -
Aric Holman * 21 3-6 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 3 2 6 8 -
Tyson Carter 21 2-11 2-10 1-1 1 2 2 0 0 7 1 -
Xavian Stapleton 21 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 4 -
Eli Wright 11 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
E.J. Datcher 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
KeyShawn Feazell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Knox * 36 5-6 4-4 5-6 6 1 2 0 4 19 18 -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 35 6-15 0-3 4-4 4 6 0 0 0 16 11 -
P.J. Washington * 31 6-10 0-2 10-14 6 2 3 2 2 22 23 -
Hamidou Diallo * 27 3-8 0-2 0-1 7 2 2 2 3 6 8 -
Nick Richards * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Quade Green 20 0-2 0-1 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Wenyen Gabriel 19 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 11 1-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
Sacha Killeya-Jones 10 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter