Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | -5.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.3% | 60.7% | +2.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +10 (76-66). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Knox * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Washington | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Quade Green | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Harper * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 9-9 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Mustapha Heron * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 23 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 29 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Desean Murray * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Chuma Okeke | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Malik Dunbar | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Davion Mitchell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter