🐻⬇️🏀

Illinois State

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History

2025 Team Stats (8 games)

80.9
PPG
70.9
Opp
+7.3
Margin
49.8%
FG%
40.2%
3P%
80.5%
FT%
35.0
RPG
15.3
APG
11.4
TO
75.2
Pace
74.7
AdjO
72.2
AdjD
#120
Rank

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1170 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1074 (#125) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +2.5 (#124) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.596 (#115) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.596 (#116) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.595 (#123) AdjNet +3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.594 (#123) AdjNet +3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.2 More → 0.558 (#120) AdjO 74.7 | AdjD 72.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-07 @ North Dakota State Bison W 77 - 68
2024-11-12 vs Ohio Bobcats W 85 - 75
2024-11-17 vs Trinity Christian (IL) Trolls W 107 - 52
2024-11-22 @ McNeese Cowboys L 68 - 76
2024-11-23 vs UAB Blazers W 84 - 83
2024-11-25 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 64 - 72
2024-12-04 @ Belmont Bruins L 97 - 99
2024-12-07 vs Pacific Tigers W 72 - 61
2024-12-15 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 81 - 77
2024-12-18 vs Northern Illinois Huskies W 81 - 60
2024-12-22 @ Cornell Big Red W 80 - 77
2024-12-29 vs UIC Flames L 67 - 73
2025-01-02 @ Murray State Racers W 74 - 68
2025-01-05 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 85 - 54
2025-01-08 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 51 - 69

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Kinziger J. Kinziger G 14 31.1 14.1 3.5 3.4 1.0 0.2 1.6 9.9 10.8 186 5.3 7.6 47.1 44.6 89.7 1.42 63.8 59.1
C. Walker C. Walker F 14 19.9 13.6 6.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 1.8 7.6 12.2 -55 -2.2 -3.2 61.7 62.5 79.4 0.18 69.7 64.0
Dalton Banks Dalton Banks G 15 28.7 10.0 4.0 3.6 1.5 0.3 2.6 7.8 9.1 229 6.5 10.3 51.3 29.6 64.7 1.68 56.8 54.7
Ty Pence Ty Pence G 15 26.0 8.2 4.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.6 5.6 7.3 29 1.0 1.5 48.8 36.6 89.7 -0.19 63.6 57.7
Malachi Poindexter Malachi Poindexter G 14 23.9 7.8 1.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 6.3 3.9 -43 -1.7 -3.9 43.2 33.3 75.0 -1.36 55.3 51.7
L. Wolf L. Wolf G 15 23.7 7.6 3.5 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.3 5.9 6.9 53 1.7 2.8 47.7 42.0 69.2 0.29 60.8 59.7
J. Daugherty J. Daugherty F 15 11.0 7.1 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 4.7 4.3 -22 -1.1 -3.8 52.9 49.2 100.0 -0.22 74.8 74.3
Caden Boser Caden Boser F 15 15.9 5.9 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.8 3.7 5.3 -11 -0.4 -2.0 58.9 51.4 45.5 -0.39 73.1 75.0
J. Davis J. Davis G 12 18.8 3.9 4.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.5 3.7 4.8 196 6.3 9.0 36.4 34.4 80.0 3.26 50.9 48.9
C. Barnes C. Barnes F 9 7.0 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.6 2.6 -10 -1.2 -8.0 57.1 66.7 50.0 -0.45 63.1 64.3
C. Norris C. Norris G 9 10.8 2.1 1.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.3 3.0 53 5.3 76.7 58.3 50.0 75.0 -0.62 69.0 66.7
Ty Blake Ty Blake - 3 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 -5 -5.0 -109.1 33.3 0 100.0 -1.65 63.0 33.3
B. Lieb B. Lieb F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
B. Skunberg B. Skunberg G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG