Model Predictions
| Model | UIC Flames | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -6 (67-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Freeman | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +5.9 |
| F. Skobalj | 33 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +7.0 |
| J. Mason | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +4.4 |
| A. Henderson II | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +9.1 |
| S. Ciani | 22 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | -0.5 |
| J. Jackson | 22 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | +0.4 |
| E. Pickett | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| M. Kancleris | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +0.9 |
| K. Jeffries | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.9 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Banks | 36 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -2.6 |
| M. Poindexter | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 12-14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -4.7 |
| L. Wolf | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -5.7 |
| J. Davis | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Ty Pence | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +1.6 |
| C. Boser | 23 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +2.3 |
| C. Barnes | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.8 |
| J. Daugherty | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -9.9 |
| C. Norris | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.0 |
| C. Walker | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter