🐻⬇️🏀

Illinois State Redbirds 51
@
Evansville Purple Aces 69
2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 78.9% 21.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% - ✗
Margin 72.1% 27.9% -5.2 ✗ (23.2 off)
Pythagorean 67.0% 33.0% - ✗
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 60.7% 39.3% - ✗

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +18 (69-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger 38 2-11 1-7 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 -1 -18.0
M. Poindexter 25 6-9 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 14 5 -15.3
Ty Pence 23 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -11.0
L. Wolf 23 2-5 2-3 1-2 6 1 2 0 1 7 10 -12.7
D. Banks 22 0-2 0-1 0-2 1 2 2 0 3 0 0 -9.7
J. Davis 21 2-6 2-6 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 6 -8.6
C. Walker 20 3-5 1-1 2-4 4 2 0 1 2 9 9 -10.0
J. Daugherty 14 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 6 +0.3
C. Boser 12 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 1 2 -0.9
C. Norris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.0

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Comer 40 6-13 1-4 6-7 4 5 0 0 4 19 11 +18.0
C. Haffner 38 5-12 4-9 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 14 6 +14.9
J. Hughes 34 4-7 2-5 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 10 14 +17.1
C. Turnbull 31 4-8 0-2 0-0 10 4 1 3 2 8 16 +18.0
T. Cuff 28 6-9 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 14 12 +14.0
G. Tesch 21 1-2 1-2 1-1 0 1 0 2 0 4 5 +2.7
K. Berridge 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +5.0
M. Day 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +0.0

* = starter