Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +31 (85-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hensley | 35 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -32.4 |
| A. Dibba | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | -30.9 |
| D. Mayo Jr. | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -10.1 |
| D. Steffe | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -25.8 |
| S. Sharp | 25 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -24.0 |
| D. Sykes | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -7.8 |
| A. Massey | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9.9 |
| R. Aligbe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.1 |
| J. Moreno | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Pence | 26 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +14.7 |
| M. Poindexter | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +17.0 |
| C. Norris | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | +6.9 |
| J. Davis | 21 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +16.5 |
| L. Wolf | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +17.2 |
| J. Kinziger | 19 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | +20.9 |
| C. Boser | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +4.0 |
| J. Daugherty | 17 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +25.0 |
| C. Walker | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +20.1 |
| D. Banks | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +12.3 |
| Ty Blake | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter