Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Washington | 36 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | -9.7 |
| J. Koulibaly | 35 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -2.0 |
| P. Krivokapic | 33 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -15.7 |
| E. Ralph | 27 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | -9.7 |
| E. Fisher | 26 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 3 | -0.1 |
| J. Gardner | 26 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -0.2 |
| S. Jones | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| B. Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| K. Keinys | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger | 38 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | +9.7 |
| D. Banks | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | +16.3 |
| L. Wolf | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -1.5 |
| C. Walker | 22 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | +4.7 |
| J. Daugherty | 21 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +9.1 |
| C. Boser | 17 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +2.8 |
| Ty Pence | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -1.5 |
| C. Norris | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +7.5 |
| M. Poindexter | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | +4.7 |
| J. Davis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter