Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Brown * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -9.5 |
| A. Hadaway * | 33 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | -17.0 |
| AJ Clayton * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -16.4 |
| E. James * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +1.9 |
| J. Paveletzke * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | -20.3 |
| A. Sheldon | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -6.2 |
| V. Searls | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +8.6 |
| E. Elliott | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5.3 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | +11.1 |
| D. Banks * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Ty Pence * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +20.9 |
| C. Walker * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +7.3 |
| L. Wolf * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -0.1 |
| J. Davis | 25 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +7.0 |
| M. Poindexter | 24 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +12.9 |
| C. Boser | 17 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | -7.5 |
| J. Daugherty | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter