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2024-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Ohio Bobcats Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% -
Log Adjusted 26.9% 73.1% -
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Brown * 35 6-13 4-8 4-4 4 1 1 1 2 20 12 -9.5
A. Hadaway * 33 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 2 1 0 11 13 -17.0
AJ Clayton * 28 4-8 2-5 2-3 5 0 0 3 1 12 11 -16.4
E. James * 23 3-8 0-2 6-6 4 1 0 0 0 12 9 +1.9
J. Paveletzke * 23 1-3 1-1 1-1 0 2 0 0 4 4 -1 -20.3
A. Sheldon 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 3 -6.2
V. Searls 19 4-9 0-1 0-2 2 2 0 0 1 8 2 +8.6
E. Elliott 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 +5.3

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Kinziger * 35 3-7 2-4 2-2 3 7 0 0 2 10 11 +11.1
D. Banks * 34 8-14 1-1 6-6 5 2 1 0 4 23 13 +4.6
Ty Pence * 24 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 10 7 +20.9
C. Walker * 22 4-5 0-0 5-6 3 0 1 0 1 13 11 +7.3
L. Wolf * 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -0.1
J. Davis 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 3 9 +7.0
M. Poindexter 24 2-6 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 0 +12.9
C. Boser 17 6-6 4-4 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 16 14 -7.5
J. Daugherty 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter