Ill. Springfield
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1206 (#10) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.5 (#251) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#70) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.981 (#77) | AdjNet +33.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.982 (#77) | AdjNet +33.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.896 (#101) | AdjO 82.4 | AdjD 58.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.714 (#94) | AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 66.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.776 (#125) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#102) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1315 (#13) | RD 100 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Illinois Col. | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wis.-Oshkosh | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | UChicago | W | 72 - 69 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Wis. Lutheran | W | 97 - 42 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Kenyon | W | 89 - 59 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Wis.-Stout | L | 58 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Carthage | W | 85 - 81 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | North Central (IL) | L | 57 - 68 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Elmhurst | L | 66 - 67 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | WashU | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Yeshiva | W | 72 - 71 |
| 2025-12-31 | @ | Hamilton | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Carroll (WI) | W | 72 - 68 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 88 - 79 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | North Park | W | 79 - 59 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Millikin | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Carroll (WI) | W | 60 - 58 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Carthage | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 93 - 64 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Wheaton (IL) | W | 82 - 71 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Elmhurst | W | 91 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Cleveland | - | 22 | 32.3 | 19.4 | 11.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 12.8 | 21.3 | 191 | 9.1 | 39.1 | 60.6 | 21.9 | 51.7 | 2.88 | 61.3 | 61.9 |
| Mason Funk | - | 22 | 29.5 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 11.5 | 13.0 | 185 | 8.8 | 41.5 | 46.2 | 32.6 | 67.2 | 2.83 | 54.6 | 52.2 |
| Karlo Colak | - | 22 | 31.5 | 12.5 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 10.1 | 10.7 | 155 | 7.4 | 33.8 | 43.5 | 33.3 | 68.1 | -0.26 | 53.8 | 50.4 |
| Casen Lawrence | - | 22 | 28.2 | 10.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 7.5 | 4.7 | 142 | 7.1 | 32.7 | 43.0 | 43.1 | 85.7 | 0.56 | 64.9 | 63.0 |
| Josh Fridman | - | 6 | 19.0 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 39 | 7.8 | 73.4 | 48.1 | 36.4 | 76.2 | 0.25 | 63.5 | 55.6 |
| Jackson Niego | - | 22 | 26.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 93 | 4.4 | 23.4 | 38.5 | 31.2 | 56.2 | -1.11 | 48.0 | 47.0 |
| Brady Kuehl | - | 22 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 40.8 | 23.8 | 46.2 | -0.91 | 44.7 | 44.1 |
| Brady Ruggles | - | 21 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 3.5 | 1.6 | -16 | -0.8 | -18.4 | 28.4 | 25.9 | 81.2 | -0.55 | 42.6 | 37.8 |
| Connor Williams | - | 10 | 8.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 63 | 6.3 | 39.4 | 41.7 | 46.7 | 71.4 | 4.84 | 59.1 | 56.2 |
| Nick Tingley | - | 7 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 26 | 4.3 | 132.5 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 85.7 | 0.21 | 82.8 | 77.8 |
| David Williams | - | 20 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 14 | 0.8 | 10.2 | 50.0 | 36.4 | 65.0 | 0.23 | 65.3 | 61.1 |
| Dylan Schmidt | - | 6 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 12 | 2.4 | 111.2 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.33 | 70.0 | 70.0 |
| Anthony Kemp | - | 11 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 30 | 3.3 | 173.5 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.26 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Luke Meyer | - | 7 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 23 | 3.8 | 142.6 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 0.3 | 40.0 | 42.9 |
| Nathan Boldt | - | 16 | 10.5 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.2 | -51 | -3.2 | -81.7 | 15.8 | 14.3 | 62.5 | -1.32 | 26.6 | 18.4 |
| Micah Meiss | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 10 | 2.0 | 107.1 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.2 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Alex Miller | - | 5 | 2.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 9 | 2.2 | 88.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.43 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Bradley Biedke | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.8 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alec Schmidts | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Tucker Sennett | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG