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Carroll (WI)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Carroll (WI)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1034 (#220) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1091 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1005 (#412) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.0 (#53) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +0.8 (#335) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.532 (#444) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More → 0.522 (#347) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.5 More → 0.515 (#345) AdjNet +0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 75.5 More → 0.520 (#341) AdjO 76.4 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 73.4 More → 0.598 (#218) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 73.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.562 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.562 (#347) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 21 More → 1042 (#301) RD 98 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ WashU L 78 - 90
2025-11-12 vs Beloit W 63 - 61
2025-11-14 @ Wis.-Superior W 96 - 69
2025-11-15 @ Wis.-Platteville L 80 - 88
2025-11-22 vs Wis.-Oshkosh L 76 - 85
2025-11-25 @ MSOE W 93 - 80
2025-12-03 vs North Park W 81 - 78
2025-12-06 @ Carthage L 76 - 81
2025-12-13 @ Wis.-Whitewater L 60 - 64
2025-12-20 vs Marian (WI) W 75 - 67
2025-12-30 vs Edgewood W 95 - 68
2026-01-03 @ Ill. Wesleyan L 68 - 72
2026-01-07 @ Wheaton (IL) L 84 - 85
2026-01-10 vs Millikin W 67 - 65
2026-01-14 vs Elmhurst W 92 - 61
2026-01-17 @ Augustana (IL) L 73 - 80
2026-01-21 @ North Central (IL) L 78 - 82
2026-01-24 vs Ill. Wesleyan L 58 - 60
2026-01-28 @ North Park L 82 - 84
2026-01-31 vs Wheaton (IL) W 90 - 84
2026-02-07 vs Augustana (IL) W 94 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael McNabb - 21 31.4 21.4 4.0 1.7 1.4 0.1 2.9 15.0 10.9 68 3.4 12.9 52.2 34.1 79.5 4.13 61.6 56.8
Lamar Smith - 21 29.0 17.3 7.0 2.9 1.3 0.7 2.5 10.7 16.0 60 2.9 13.3 62.1 41.2 65.5 1.35 65.7 63.6
Peyton McKenna - 21 32.3 11.0 2.9 2.2 1.6 0.3 1.7 9.5 6.8 40 1.9 7.7 39.5 37.3 52.6 -0.04 55.4 55.2
Jacob Naber - 21 27.4 9.4 6.6 1.4 0.7 0.6 1.8 6.2 10.7 24 1.1 5.1 55.7 0 83.6 -1.23 62.4 55.7
Dennis Estepp - 21 24.2 6.8 3.3 1.5 1.7 0.3 1.4 5.6 6.7 2 0.1 0.5 43.6 29.8 77.1 -0.37 54.0 49.6
Evan Bland - 16 21.9 5.8 1.6 3.0 1.3 0.2 1.5 6.5 3.9 24 1.6 8.6 34.6 25.0 53.6 0.63 40.0 37.5
Lucas Parker - 20 15.9 5.0 2.3 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.4 5.2 2.8 -5 -0.2 -2.0 33.0 35.3 100.0 1.9 48.4 47.6
Jimmy Tarjan - 15 12.9 2.4 2.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.9 0 0.0 0.0 46.9 27.3 30.0 -3.02 49.5 51.6
Andrew Hollerich - 6 4.4 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.5 -5 -1.0 -22.1 42.9 50.0 50.0 0.55 57.1 57.1
Brendan Beaumont - 2 0.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Cai Joseph - 15 5.3 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 -31 -2.1 -55.3 53.8 40.0 0.0 -1.03 59.5 61.5
Greg Smith - 19 6.9 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.1 1 0.1 1.0 50.0 0 33.3 0.19 48.6 50.0
Evan Oleson - 11 6.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 6 0.6 8.1 33.3 20.0 0 -0.27 41.7 41.7
Cale Buboltz - 4 3.3 0.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 -1 -0.3 -5.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.19 0.0 0.0
Gray Dingwall - 2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Auggie Hoffman - 2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Matt Leonhard - 3 1.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hayden Stebbins - 2 4.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG