Elmhurst
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1097 (#107) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1134 (#87) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1103 (#93) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +3.7 (#76) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +0.6 (#340) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.581 (#415) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.631 (#304) | AdjNet +4.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.625 (#304) | AdjNet +4.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.573 (#311) | AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.599 (#215) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 71.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.623 (#294) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.625 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1171 (#86) | RD 96 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Hope | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Wis. Lutheran | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | MSOE | W | 71 - 67 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Illinois Col. | W | 73 - 72 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | DePauw | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-12-02 | @ | Wis.-Whitewater | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Wheaton (IL) | L | 81 - 82 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Ill. Wesleyan | W | 67 - 66 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Greenville | W | 137 - 100 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Coe | L | 65 - 68 |
| 2025-12-30 | vs | Ripon | W | 84 - 57 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Carthage | L | 65 - 80 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Millikin | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Augustana (IL) | W | 77 - 64 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 61 - 92 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | North Park | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Carthage | W | 72 - 60 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | North Central (IL) | W | 82 - 80 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Millikin | W | 80 - 72 |
| 2026-02-04 | @ | Augustana (IL) | W | 81 - 62 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Ill. Wesleyan | L | 69 - 91 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic Trelenberg | - | 21 | 34.0 | 18.4 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 13.0 | 12.6 | -10 | -0.5 | -2.5 | 49.1 | 41.1 | 73.3 | -0.81 | 61.9 | 58.8 |
| Vinnie Adjahoungbeta | - | 21 | 29.2 | 12.3 | 7.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 8.4 | 13.4 | -5 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 47.5 | 47.6 | 76.9 | -1.31 | 61.0 | 55.9 |
| Aidyn Boone | - | 21 | 24.7 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 24 | 1.2 | 8.2 | 44.7 | 35.3 | 83.0 | 3.06 | 58.7 | 54.1 |
| Luke Smith | - | 21 | 26.3 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 6.5 | -8 | -0.5 | -7.4 | 40.7 | 32.4 | 81.1 | -1.15 | 53.2 | 49.7 |
| Sebastian Blachut | - | 21 | 26.8 | 9.5 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 6.8 | 49 | 2.5 | 15.7 | 46.1 | 28.3 | 68.7 | 0.9 | 54.8 | 50.3 |
| Jack Cherry | - | 21 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 5.2 | -67 | -3.4 | -32.4 | 47.9 | 37.1 | 80.8 | -0.61 | 61.6 | 56.8 |
| Talen Pearson | - | 21 | 19.2 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 3.5 | -37 | -1.9 | -16.9 | 41.7 | 31.9 | 68.4 | 1.84 | 53.1 | 50.6 |
| EJ Marshall | - | 21 | 13.5 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 4.0 | -93 | -4.7 | -55.1 | 35.3 | 23.8 | 78.1 | 0.12 | 47.5 | 39.0 |
| Jeffrey Williams | - | 14 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | -8 | -0.6 | -49.2 | 42.3 | 28.6 | 40.0 | -0.41 | 49.6 | 50.0 |
| Brent Collar | - | 3 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -7 | -3.5 | -152.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 64.4 | 66.7 |
| Andy Colvin | - | 6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 12.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 75.0 | 0.22 | 64.4 | 58.3 |
| John Witcher | - | 13 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.93 | 79.5 | 80.0 |
| DJ Jervier | - | 5 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | -11 | -2.8 | -138.9 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.02 | 31.7 | 28.6 |
| Oliver Adams | - | 8 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | -19 | -2.7 | -241.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.59 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Evan Salvador | - | 5 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.7 | 43.6 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.17 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Simon Weisserman | - | 3 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -0.3 | -1 | -0.5 | -30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cooper Hasz | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Evangelos Rafail Mitropoulos | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Stefan Soh | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Steven Tierney | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Stanton Turner | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Charalampos Vasilopoulos | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jaeden Warrener | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Quintin Wieneck | - | 2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG