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Houston Rockets

Also known as: Houston Rockets
Program History

2004 Team Stats (79 games)

89.4
PPG
87.3
Opp
+2.1
Margin
44.4%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
77.4%
FT%
42.5
RPG
19.3
APG
15.7
TO
90.0
Est. poss./game
87.4
Adj PPG
85.3
Adj Opp PPG
#10
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 965 (#17) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1047 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 986 (#15) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +2.1 (#10) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ +0.7 (#13) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.543 (#10) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +1.4 More โ†’ 0.543 (#10) NetEff +1.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.3 More โ†’ 0.565 (#10) AdjNet +2.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.3 More โ†’ 0.566 (#10) AdjNet +2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.4 | AdjD 85.3 More โ†’ 0.548 (#10) AdjO 87.4 | AdjD 85.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 88.9 | AdjD 88.7 More โ†’ 0.506 (#13) AdjO 88.9 | AdjD 88.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.516 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.507 (#16) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 201 | GP 87 More โ†’ 1008 (#13) RD 201 | GP 87

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-30 vs Denver Nuggets W 102 - 85
2003-11-01 vs Memphis Grizzlies L 71 - 79
2003-11-03 @ Chicago Bulls W 98 - 66
2003-11-04 @ Brooklyn Nets W 86 - 75
2003-11-08 vs Orlando Magic W 96 - 86
2003-11-11 vs Miami Heat W 90 - 70
2003-11-13 @ Dallas Mavericks L 86 - 97
2003-11-14 vs Phoenix Suns W 90 - 85
2003-11-16 @ Toronto Raptors - Incomplete score
2003-11-17 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 74 - 66
2003-11-19 vs Golden State Warriors W 85 - 83
2003-11-21 @ Portland Trail Blazers L 78 - 85
2003-11-24 @ LA Clippers W 105 - 90
2003-11-26 @ Utah Jazz L 76 - 83
2003-11-28 @ Sacramento Kings L 74 - 103
2003-11-29 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 88 - 95
2003-12-03 vs Utah Jazz W 107 - 101
2003-12-05 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 83 - 74
2003-12-06 vs Detroit Pistons W 86 - 80
2003-12-09 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 93 - 91
2003-12-11 vs San Antonio Spurs L 67 - 71
2003-12-13 @ San Antonio Spurs L 73 - 86
2003-12-16 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 75 - 92
2003-12-17 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 89 - 85
2003-12-19 vs LA Clippers W 99 - 85
2003-12-20 @ Phoenix Suns L 87 - 102
2003-12-23 vs Indiana Pacers L 71 - 79
2003-12-25 @ Los Angeles Lakers W 99 - 87
2003-12-26 @ Denver Nuggets L 94 - 95
2003-12-29 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 86 - 87
2003-12-31 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 80 - 72
2004-01-03 vs Utah Jazz W 84 - 63
2004-01-05 vs Golden State Warriors W 83 - 65
2004-01-07 @ Detroit Pistons L 66 - 85
2004-01-08 @ New York Knicks W 111 - 79
2004-01-11 vs Boston Celtics L 93 - 97
2004-01-13 @ Washington Wizards W 93 - 80
2004-01-14 @ Boston Celtics W 95 - 80
2004-01-17 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 95 - 76
2004-01-19 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 83 - 88
2004-01-21 vs New York Knicks W 86 - 71
2004-01-23 @ Indiana Pacers W 78 - 74
2004-01-25 @ Orlando Magic W 99 - 87
2004-01-26 @ Miami Heat L 81 - 95
2004-01-28 vs Sacramento Kings L 94 - 99
2004-01-31 vs Brooklyn Nets L 77 - 88
2004-02-02 @ Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2004-02-04 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 103 - 89
2004-02-06 vs Chicago Bulls W 82 - 80
2004-02-07 @ Atlanta Hawks W 86 - 77
2004-02-09 vs San Antonio Spurs L 82 - 85
2004-02-11 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 102 - 87
2004-02-17 vs Washington Wizards W 107 - 81
2004-02-21 @ Dallas Mavericks L 88 - 97
2004-02-22 vs Atlanta Hawks - Incomplete score
2004-02-24 @ San Antonio Spurs L 77 - 86
2004-02-25 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 90 - 84
2004-02-27 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 89 - 85
2004-02-29 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 80 - 97
2004-03-03 vs Los Angeles Lakers L 93 - 96
2004-03-05 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 112 - 109
2004-03-07 vs Dallas Mavericks W 101 - 98
2004-03-09 vs LA Clippers W 90 - 85
2004-03-11 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 86
2004-03-13 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 88 - 80
2004-03-15 vs Phoenix Suns L 97 - 99
2004-03-19 @ Golden State Warriors L 84 - 90
2004-03-21 @ Sacramento Kings L 95 - 100
2004-03-22 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 93 - 85
2004-03-24 vs Toronto Raptors W 90 - 89
2004-03-26 @ Memphis Grizzlies L 86 - 109
2004-03-28 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 111 - 107
2004-03-29 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 88 - 94
2004-04-01 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 85 - 93
2004-04-02 @ Denver Nuggets L 100 - 110
2004-04-04 vs Sacramento Kings L 94 - 99
2004-04-06 @ Golden State Warriors L 90 - 97
2004-04-07 @ LA Clippers W 102 - 79
2004-04-09 vs Denver Nuggets W 106 - 103
2004-04-10 @ Utah Jazz L 69 - 82
2004-04-12 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 111 - 107
2004-04-14 vs Dallas Mavericks L 89 - 92
2004-04-17 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-04-19 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-04-23 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-04-25 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-04-28 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ming Yao G 79 32.4 17.1 8.8 1.4 0.3 1.9 2.4 12.4 14.8 - - - - 51.8 0.0 81.6 - 58.2 51.8
Steve Francis G 77 40.1 16.5 5.4 6.3 1.7 0.5 3.8 13.9 12.7 - - - - 40.7 30.6 77.0 - 50.5 44.1
Cuttino Mobley G 77 40.0 15.5 4.5 3.2 1.3 0.4 2.2 13.4 9.4 - - - - 42.9 39.1 82.1 - 53.7 50.4
Jim Jackson G 77 38.7 12.9 6.2 2.8 1.1 0.3 2.2 11.2 9.8 - - - - 42.7 40.2 84.7 - 54.3 51.6
Maurice Taylor G 73 27.8 11.7 5.1 1.4 0.6 0.6 2.0 10.4 7.2 - - - - 48.4 0.0 73.8 - 51.6 48.4
Kelvin Cato G 66 25.3 6.1 6.8 1.1 0.7 1.4 1.2 5.2 9.7 - - - - 45.3 0 67.6 - 50.0 45.3
Clar. Weatherspoon G 35 17.1 5.3 4.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.7 4.3 5.7 - - - - 52.0 0.0 62.8 - 54.1 52.0
Eric Piatkowski G 47 14.6 4.2 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.6 4.0 2.1 - - - - 37.4 35.0 87.5 - 50.5 48.7
Scott Padgett G 56 9.5 3.4 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 2.9 3.4 - - - - 44.4 41.3 73.3 - 54.8 52.5
Bostjan Nachbar G 43 11.4 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.5 3.0 2.6 - - - - 36.2 37.7 72.4 - 48.7 45.3
Torraye Braggs G 10 11.5 2.8 3.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 2.4 3.5 - - - - 45.8 0 66.7 - 50.1 45.8
Moochie Norris G 29 13.4 2.6 1.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.0 2.8 1.9 - - - - 30.5 36.4 72.7 - 40.4 35.4
Mark Jackson G 40 13.5 2.5 1.6 2.8 0.4 0.0 1.3 2.3 3.8 - - - - 35.5 18.4 71.8 - 45.8 39.2
Mike Wilks G 25 5.3 1.8 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 - - - - 46.9 55.6 83.3 - 60.4 54.7
Alton Ford F 8 4.8 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.8 - - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 51.4 50.0
Charles Oakley F 7 3.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 - - - - 33.3 0 83.3 - 52.1 33.3
Adrian Griffin G 18 7.3 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.4 - - - - 27.8 50.0 0.0 - 27.8 30.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG