Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 40.0% | 60.0% | +2.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jackson * | 42 | 1-12 | 1-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 39 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 38 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 24 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Clar. Weatherspoon * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Eric Piatkowski | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 45 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 45 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 7-11 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 43 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 41 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi * | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter