Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-8 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 1-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| John Wallace * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tyrone Hill | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 40 | 11-21 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 24 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Torraye Braggs * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alton Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter