Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.8% | 26.2% | -2.4 | ✗ (21.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +19 (95-76). Ratings: 2003-04 season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 43 | 7-20 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Latrell Sprewell * | 42 | 6-16 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 39 | 9-19 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 36 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Fred Hoiberg * | 28 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Goldwire * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mark Madsen * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Oliver Miller | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ndudi Ebi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Francis * | 44 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jim Jackson * | 43 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 43 | 6-19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Bostjan Nachbar * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Mike Wilks | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter