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Greensboro Swarm

Also known as: Greensboro Swarm
Program History

2026 Team Stats (42 games)

124.0
PPG
116.3
Opp
+9.1
Margin
48.5%
FG%
35.0%
3P%
77.5%
FT%
50.0
RPG
23.3
APG
14.6
TO
113.7
Pace
122.1
AdjO
124.0
AdjD
#18
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More β†’ 988 (#20) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More β†’ 1061 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +40 elo More β†’ 1114 (#3) HCA +40 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.3 More β†’ -2.2 (#21) HCA +0.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.8 More β†’ +7.9 (#2) HCA +1.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More β†’ 0.520 (#15) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.0 More β†’ 0.548 (#13) NetEff +2.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.6 More β†’ 0.455 (#19) AdjNet -1.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.6 More β†’ 0.455 (#19) AdjNet -1.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 122.1 | AdjD 124.0 More β†’ 0.457 (#18) AdjO 122.1 | AdjD 124.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 122.8 | AdjD 115.4 More β†’ 0.661 (#2) AdjO 122.8 | AdjD 115.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.695 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More β†’ 0.696 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 76 | GP 52 More β†’ 1139 (#3) RD 76 | GP 52

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-19 vs GRG L 106 - 119
2025-12-21 @ SDC W 127 - 117
2025-12-27 vs IWA W 123 - 117
2025-12-29 vs TEX W 136 - 130
2025-12-31 vs TEX W 140 - 108
2026-01-03 @ GRG W 125 - 100
2026-01-05 @ GRG W 149 - 119
2026-01-09 @ RGV L 115 - 120
2026-01-10 @ RGV L 119 - 131
2026-01-15 @ WES W 123 - 111
2026-01-17 vs OSC W 125 - 123
2026-01-19 @ BHM W 116 - 114
2026-01-23 @ MNE W 122 - 112
2026-01-25 @ MNE L 138 - 147
2026-01-30 vs WCB L 110 - 115
2026-02-07 @ CLC W 123 - 110
2026-02-11 vs CCG W 136 - 119
2026-02-12 vs CCG W 119 - 107
2026-02-20 @ WIS - Preview
2026-02-21 @ WIS - Preview
2026-02-24 @ MHU W 126 - 105
2026-02-28 @ RAP - Preview
2026-03-01 @ RAP W 141 - 106
2026-03-04 vs LIN L 111 - 116
2026-03-06 vs LIN - Preview
2026-03-07 vs MCC - Preview
2026-03-10 vs DEL W 140 - 98
2026-03-11 vs DEL W 136 - 116
2026-03-13 vs OSC W 127 - 120
2026-03-18 vs NOB W 111 - 107
2026-03-22 @ WES L 131 - 141
2026-03-25 @ MCC L 132 - 143
2026-03-27 vs CPS W 132 - 121
2026-03-28 vs CPS - Preview
2026-03-31 vs MNE W 112 - 90
2026-04-03 vs CCG - Preview
2026-04-05 @ OSC - Preview
2026-04-08 vs STO W 111 - 107
2026-04-10 @ STO - Preview

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keyontae Johnson G 17 28.8 20.4 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.2 2.4 14.7 13.1 - - - 52.8 36.4 80.4 - 63.7 56.0
Liam McNeeley G 15 32.9 20.1 5.9 3.4 0.7 0.3 2.1 13.0 15.3 - - - 45.6 32.5 81.6 - 66.1 52.6
Antonio Reeves G 23 30.9 17.7 3.6 1.7 0.5 0.1 1.0 13.3 9.3 - - - 49.8 41.7 77.8 - 64.0 61.7
PJ Hall C 18 27.5 17.4 10.4 2.6 1.0 1.5 2.4 11.1 19.5 - - - 59.3 38.6 80.0 - 73.2 66.1
Jaylen Sims G 30 28.2 16.9 5.2 2.6 0.6 0.1 1.9 11.7 11.7 - - - 44.6 35.2 87.8 - 64.6 52.8
KJ Simpson G 7 33.0 15.4 4.9 6.9 1.6 0.0 2.4 12.9 13.4 - - - 40.0 27.8 85.7 - 54.4 45.6
Tosan Evbuomwan F 8 29.2 15.1 5.6 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.9 10.5 13.0 - - - 50.0 44.8 63.6 - 64.6 57.7
Tidjane SalaΓΌn F 4 28.0 14.5 10.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 2.8 12.5 11.8 - - - 44.0 29.2 66.7 - 55.1 51.0
Marcus Garrett G 25 24.6 13.0 3.3 4.2 1.2 0.2 1.7 10.0 10.2 - - - 55.6 31.4 75.0 - 62.4 58.8
Eric Dixon F 15 19.2 11.9 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.1 1.1 8.7 6.9 - - - 46.9 38.7 61.9 - 64.3 58.1
Drew Peterson F 2 34.0 11.0 7.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 14.0 5.5 - - - 28.6 7.7 100.0 - 37.0 30.4
Terrell Brown Jr. G 30 23.8 10.5 3.8 6.4 1.2 0.3 1.6 9.2 11.5 - - - 40.9 31.3 78.0 - 53.7 46.6
Caleb Grill - 8 15.4 7.8 2.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.1 5.1 - - - 44.9 41.9 0.0 - 62.7 63.3
DJ Rodman G 26 16.5 7.3 3.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 4.7 6.8 - - - 49.6 47.1 80.0 - 73.2 66.5
Brandon Slater - 11 13.8 6.3 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 4.6 5.2 - - - 41.2 34.2 77.8 - 62.8 53.9
Josiah Allick - 24 16.7 6.3 5.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.5 4.0 9.8 - - - 68.0 20.0 58.8 - 72.7 69.6
Jonas Aidoo C 24 12.3 5.8 4.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.5 3.9 7.0 - - - 57.4 20.0 67.9 - 65.8 59.0
Ibou Badji C 15 16.1 5.7 4.7 0.5 0.1 2.7 0.3 2.9 10.6 - - - 72.7 0 75.0 - 84.2 72.7
Evan Gilyard - 10 8.5 4.4 1.0 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.6 4.4 2.4 - - - 29.5 16.7 100.0 - 46.3 33.0
Trevon Duval - 2 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jaire Grayer - 5 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.8 - - - 75.0 50.0 0 - 87.5 87.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG