Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Birmingham Squadron | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Birmingham Squadron -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McNeeley * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 34 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 27 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Ibou Badji * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jaylen Sims | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Eric Dixon | 13 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| DJ Rodman | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Aidoo | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Birmingham Squadron
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Alexander * | 41 | 7-23 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jaden Springer * | 39 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Keion Brooks Jr. * | 37 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Johnny O'Neil * | 37 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson * | 33 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 28 | - |
| Trhae Mitchell | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chase Hunter | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
* = starter